In 2008, one out of every thousand people in Russia with new cars got only 20 people. In developed European countries, a similar figure was 30-40. For Russia has managed to beat Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary, equaling Portugal. In Moscow this figure exceeded the average by more than two raza.44, 5 cars per 1,000 inhabitants. Among the companies-carriers that specialize in transporting automobiles transporters, already frequently asked questions: how long it will last for the rapid growth of sales of passenger cars and when will they stabilize? The answer to these questions and more independent development strategy of forwarding companies: for the continuing growth of car sales leads to a permanent increase in demand of services of their traffic, and this causes the carriers to acquire an increasing number of transporters. Or acquire, if someone They take into account regularly discussed, but there has never confirmed the stabilization of car sales, or worse, to reduction in car sales. Unfortunately, clear and unambiguous predictions for that transport companies could rely on. 2006,2007,2008 record – a year, what next? Again, a record! "This here was mainly on the results of 2007 and, most importantly, the forecasts for the future, and very lightly.
Now the main thing: how long will such a rapid growth in car sales? And how many more car carriers will face the need to significantly expand its avtovoznye parks? Let us try to look into the future of Experience the world of practice, in particular, confirmed the trend in many countries and a clear dependence of the growth in GDP per capita and growth in the number of machines, per 1000 people. To understand how this experience can be spread to Russia, to accurately answer three basic questions: What if the GDP per capita of the country is stabilized fleet, when Russia's GDP will reach this level, what is an adequate number of cars per 1000 man and, finally, what is the long-term interest write-off for used cars? The analysis of all available data can provide two versions of events: the optimistic and pessimistic. One of the conditions first was the gradual increase in the number of cars per 1,000 Russians from 130 in 2003 to 300 in 2015. And on the basis of this forecast growth in annual sales of passenger cars in Russia will continue until 2015 and will reach 5.7 million, and then begin his two-year decline that will end the long-term stabilization at about 4,0-4,2 million cars a year. In this case, the coming year will be the last year of strong growth in sales. Two further they will still be increase, but more slowly, reaching a peak of 3.3 million, and then begin to decline just as smoothly, while in 2017 will not rise at about 2.5 million per year. It is worth noting that the run-up between the optimistic and pessimistic counting at least polutorakratny, and taking into account only one of them, you can easily make a mistake. One calms in our discussion that in the current year and three the following year, sales of passenger cars in Russia are still tend to increase, which means that investment in the expansion of park facilities and transporters on their acquisition will pay off. It remains to hope that by the time we wake up and the domestic auto industry, which create a decent competitive car, and then the transport capacity of the carrier vehicles can use not only on imports or import cars from abroad, but also to carry on transporters Russia.